I would say going long on Sadness at 45dkp is not a bad shout, its a complete gamble, but i certainly wouldn't go short on it. The only thing that's stopping me taking the gamble is that i dont want to tie up my money for 2 years before i see any serious return, that is if there is any. I would say that zukaus having 30mil long is actually in this case a bad thing because when the game does eventually come out, if the gamble doesnt pay off and there's bad sales numbers the price of the stock is going to be seriously low with zukaus selling out his long position. Even if sales are good when zukaus decides to pull out the price is going to go low, unless he has 100% conviction until the stock gets delisted, which would mean a 2-3 year investment you would effectively be going against him.
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I would say going long on Sadness at 45dkp is not a bad shout, its a complete gamble, but i certainly wouldn't go short on it. The only thing that's stopping me taking the gamble is that i dont want to tie up my money for 2 years before i see any serious return, that is if there is any. I would say that zukaus having 30mil long is actually in this case a bad thing because when the game does eventually come out, if the gamble doesnt pay off and there's bad sales numbers the price of the stock is going to be seriously low with zukaus selling out his long position. Even if sales are good when zukaus decides to pull out the price is going to go low, unless he has 100% conviction until the stock gets delisted, which would mean a 2-3 year investment you would effectively be going against him.