@welshbloke, I agree that if this game is bundled, it's LTD will increase a lot. However, it seems the chances of it getting bundled is pretty slim. Why ? The best chance for bundled is the year it is released, and that time is Holiday 2009.
We know what Microsoft prepared for Holiday 2009 bundle, and this game is NOT in the bundle. The chance of this getting bundled in 2010 is pretty slim, if not to say impossible, since 2010 is more than 1 years old.
The only remaining sales booster possibilities is Platinum (lowered price) version, and platinum version boost for sales # is usually very small (less than 50% boost, usually around 30% boost).
Therefore, I believe that the price of this stock is too high. It should be 1.6 Million max with Platinum version, 2.50 Million max with bundle, 1.2 Million without bundle.
Even with platinum version boost, which is not certain at this moment, this stock is 0.9 Million too high, which meant 35% margin investment for short.
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I agree that if this game is bundled, it's LTD will increase a lot. However, it seems the chances of it getting bundled is pretty slim. Why ? The best chance for bundled is the year it is released, and that time is Holiday 2009.
We know what Microsoft prepared for Holiday 2009 bundle, and this game is NOT in the bundle. The chance of this getting bundled in 2010 is pretty slim, if not to say impossible, since 2010 is more than 1 years old.
The only remaining sales booster possibilities is Platinum (lowered price) version, and platinum version boost for sales # is usually very small (less than 50% boost, usually around 30% boost).
Therefore, I believe that the price of this stock is too high. It should be 1.6 Million max with Platinum version, 2.50 Million max with bundle, 1.2 Million without bundle.
Even with platinum version boost, which is not certain at this moment, this stock is 0.9 Million too high, which meant 35% margin investment for short.