Can I make money from shorting MW2 ? Yes, but the margin is only 500K out of 4 Million (total 3 month), which meant only 10% margin. I don't find 10% margin sufficient for shorting things. 30% margin or higher is needed as buffer, just in case I made a wrong prediction.
I am more in the camp of Reggie overestimating NSMB Wii US pulling power, but I wouldn't bet any significant money against it, again because of past performance of Wii games (like Wii Fit). Mario Kart Wii's long leg is another thing that make me wary shorting Wii games, which is why I missed the conduit's short boat.
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Can I make money from shorting MW2 ? Yes, but the margin is only 500K out of 4 Million (total 3 month), which meant only 10% margin. I don't find 10% margin sufficient for shorting things. 30% margin or higher is needed as buffer, just in case I made a wrong prediction.
I am more in the camp of Reggie overestimating NSMB Wii US pulling power, but I wouldn't bet any significant money against it, again because of past performance of Wii games (like Wii Fit). Mario Kart Wii's long leg is another thing that make me wary shorting Wii games, which is why I missed the conduit's short boat.