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Nintendo DS (DS)
at 8:43AM PST on November 24, 2009.
If DS is already off pace, we can assume this quarter will also not meet expectations.
Q1-3YR4 = Year 4 - Q4YR4 = 22.5 million.
Q1-3YR5 (16 million) is 6.5 million off the pace of Q1-3YR4 (22.5 million). DOWN 40% in Q1-3 this year already.
I am expecting the DS to be more than 18-20% off the pace of last year. I am expecting something more in the range of 25-35% off the year's totals.
Suffice to say, once again TSE has overestimated the true potential of a Nintendo product (like sales trajectories fall off a cliff rather than curve, or something).
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