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Pachter's NPD Feb predicitions
Pachter's NPD Feb predicitions
GamaSutra - March 10, 2008
Submitted by deftangel (291) at 9:31AM PST on March 10, 2008
Wedbush's Michael Pachter has called [Feb] sales up 27pc to $575m. Hardware - DS: 350k Wii: 300k, PS3: 260k, Xbox 360: 250k, PS2: 245k, PSP: 225k, GBA: 1k. Software wise he's gone for DMC4 to lead out the pack. Lots more good analysis including comparisons with TheSimExchange at the link.
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1Just_Ben posted on Industry News at 11:23AM PST on March 10, 2008. RE: Pachter's NPD Feb predicitions@deftangel,
Oh Patcher. Does he ever not copy data from the month before? The hardware numbers are really telling :)[ Oracle ] [ Level 21 ] [ Rank: 112 ]bids
1deftangel posted on Industry News at 9:33AM PST on March 10, 2008. RE: Pachter's NPD Feb predicitions@deftangel,
Better formatting;-
DS: 350,000 units
Wii: 300,000 units
PS3: 260,000 units
Xbox 360: 250,000 units
PS2: 245,000 units
PSP: 225,000 units
GBA: 1,000 units
Pachter, "We believe that PS3 sales will gain momentum over the balance of the year with the victory of the Blu-ray format over HD-DVD. Xbox 360 hardware sales were relatively weaker, with the company stating that it experienced shortages caused by misjudging holiday demand. We expect the Xbox 360 shortage to continue in February, and have forecast relatively flat month-over-month sales."
Said Pachter on the month's software results, "We expect February sales to be driven by Capcom's Devil May Cry 4 (PS3, 360, PC), and to a lesser extent Microsoft's Lost Odyssey (360) and THQ's Frontlines: Fuel of War (360, PC), along with recent top selling releases Nintendo's Super Mario Galaxy and Wii Play, Activision's Call of Duty 4 and Guitar Hero III, and Electronic Arts' Rock Band. We note that there were 14 games that sold over 100,000 units in January, and we expect 14 in February (compared to 10 last year)."
He added, "While next generation console unit sales are still lagging behind the analogous period of 2002 (when console prices averaged under $200), recent price cuts, greater handheld hardware sales, and new product introductions (slim PSP and the 40Gb PS3) along with the release of key games (Halo 3 and Guitar Hero III) triggered a spike in hardware sales over the last few months that we believe will continue in 2008."
"It appears that supply constraints with the Wii and Xbox 360 allowed the PS3 to catch up in January (273,000 Wiis, 269,000 PS3s, 230,000 360s)," Pachter concluded, "but we expect all three consoles to sell well throughout the year, especially as supply increases."[ Oracle ] [ Level 21 ] [ Rank: 291 ]bids
28deftangel posted on Industry News at 9:31AM PST on March 10, 2008. Article: Pachter's NPD Feb predicitionsWedbush's Michael Pachter has called [Feb] sales up 27pc to $575m. Hardware - DS: 350k Wii: 300k, PS3: 260k, Xbox 360: 250k, PS2: 245k, PSP: 225k, GBA: 1k. Software wise he's gone for DMC4 to lead out the pack. Lots more good analysis including comparisons with TheSimExchange at the link.[ Oracle ] [ Level 21 ] [ Rank: 291 ]
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yeah it sounds like he has taken account the lower numbers from January. We appear to be a bit high this month. We were way too high on the Wii and DS in January.