About the Wii's possible 200 USD price when PS3 is 300 USD, I agree with you. However, what is more important is the third party software on Wii.
As you know, everyone know that Sony's first party are way below Nintendo's first party, and Sony's third party are way above Nintendo's third party. IF (a big if) there is no significant increase in quality of Wii's third party in 2008, then there is a slight possibility that PS3's third party are more interesting to many gamers (casual and hardcore alike) compared to Wii's third party.
Last gen, I have PS2 and GCN. I bought GCN for the first party offering, and I bought PS2 for the third party offering. Currently, I am happy with Wii as my one and only "next gen" console. However, I can imagine myself buying PS3 in the future if there are some key game that I like a lot (like Dynasty Tactics) that only show up on PS3 (and maybe X360), but not on Wii. I bought PS2 for FF series (which nowadays I am not too keen on playing, because of limited gametime) and Dynasty Tactics game.
Like you, I doubt Sony will lower PS3 price in the early 2008. But if things are not doing well (for PS3), there is a slight possibility that they will do that around Q3 or Q4 2008.
Summary : Never underestimate PS3. It might seem like a definite "loser" now, but there is always a slight possibility that 2008 might turn things around (althoug I really could not imagine PS3 as #1 console with market share as high as PS2).
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About the Wii's possible 200 USD price when PS3 is 300 USD, I agree with you. However, what is more important is the third party software on Wii.
As you know, everyone know that Sony's first party are way below Nintendo's first party, and Sony's third party are way above Nintendo's third party. IF (a big if) there is no significant increase in quality of Wii's third party in 2008, then there is a slight possibility that PS3's third party are more interesting to many gamers (casual and hardcore alike) compared to Wii's third party.
Last gen, I have PS2 and GCN. I bought GCN for the first party offering, and I bought PS2 for the third party offering. Currently, I am happy with Wii as my one and only "next gen" console. However, I can imagine myself buying PS3 in the future if there are some key game that I like a lot (like Dynasty Tactics) that only show up on PS3 (and maybe X360), but not on Wii. I bought PS2 for FF series (which nowadays I am not too keen on playing, because of limited gametime) and Dynasty Tactics game.
Like you, I doubt Sony will lower PS3 price in the early 2008. But if things are not doing well (for PS3), there is a slight possibility that they will do that around Q3 or Q4 2008.
Summary : Never underestimate PS3. It might seem like a definite "loser" now, but there is always a slight possibility that 2008 might turn things around (althoug I really could not imagine PS3 as #1 console with market share as high as PS2).