I don't get why lifetime stock for Wii is so high. Oblviously take my comments with many grains of salt as I'm shorting this, but still wondering how the people bullish are thinking: Right now it's 128 mil estimated here. Out of this we've got 20m according to vgc up to now, EA predicts 12-14m for 2008, even if Wii kept up 15m/year (I personally think it's goign to drop very hard in <4 years), that would mean it would have to sell like this up to 2015!!! Can you honestly think that by then Sony/MS won't figure anything out to capture this casual audience both in content & price? I'm not even sure ps2 reached these numbers and it was a completelly dominating console, with no competitors, while now we have at least 3 each holding it's own. That's my resoning at least. I would like to read yours. How many mil do you see it selling for 2008, 2009, 2014?
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Right now it's 128 mil estimated here.
Out of this we've got 20m according to vgc up to now, EA predicts 12-14m for 2008, even if Wii kept up 15m/year (I personally think it's goign to drop very hard in <4 years), that would mean it would have to sell like this up to 2015!!! Can you honestly think that by then Sony/MS won't figure anything out to capture this casual audience both in content & price? I'm not even sure ps2 reached these numbers and it was a completelly dominating console, with no competitors, while now we have at least 3 each holding it's own.
That's my resoning at least. I would like to read yours. How many mil do you see it selling for 2008, 2009, 2014?