This forecast of 4.34 million seems to assume this game will follow a normal sales trajectory.
It is doing anything but.
In Japan, it has sold 20K copies every week of its release (vgchartz.com), a trend which is unlikely to stop anytime soon. In the US, it was the top selling Wii game in its first two months of release, beating hardware sales both times (NPD), and could actually sell more in April than March with higher hardware shipments. In the UK, it recently jumped back up to #3 on the all-format charts (http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=1451).
Fairly old numbers from Vgchartz.com have it at 2.8 million shipments already. I think theres a great chance it does 2 million in each Japan, NA and PAL by the end of the year, and stays on the charts for several years.
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It is doing anything but.
In Japan, it has sold 20K copies every week of its release (vgchartz.com), a trend which is unlikely to stop anytime soon. In the US, it was the top selling Wii game in its first two months of release, beating hardware sales both times (NPD), and could actually sell more in April than March with higher hardware shipments. In the UK, it recently jumped back up to #3 on the all-format charts (http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=1451).
Fairly old numbers from Vgchartz.com have it at 2.8 million shipments already. I think theres a great chance it does 2 million in each Japan, NA and PAL by the end of the year, and stays on the charts for several years.