ErikAston, the DS is doing far better than even you say. The 471K it sold in the U.S. this April is >40% higher than the PS2 did in its best April ever (Apr 05), and about 13% higher than the GBA did in its best April (Apr 03). In Europe its selling even more, and in Japan even more than that.
Nintendo recently announced that they have 79 DS titles in development. Even if Nintendo cancels 15 of them and releases one every month, thatīs still over 5 more years of major support. Nintendo KNOWS they have a phenomenon on their hands.
Right now Nintendo is producing 2.5M DSīs a month (which is 30M/year), and thatīs still not enough to satisfy demand!
Note that Nintendo saves up supply for the holidays (November - January) when about 50% of yearly sales take place.
Iīll make some conservative predictions, assuming Nintendoīs next handheld comes out in about 3 years (which is most likely).
March 08: +30M (assuming production continues at current rate)
March 09: +22M (assuming a fast drop off starts in 2008)
March 00: +16M
March 01: +11M (assuming the DS successor is released half way through this fiscal year)
March 02: +7M
After March 02: +4M
Thatīs 130M. And it would take the fastest drop off for a first place handheld or console EVER for the DS to end up that low. Realistically, the DS will sell about 150M.
Remember, Nintendo has 79 DS games in development! Think big - Nintendo certainly is.
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Nintendo recently announced that they have 79 DS titles in development. Even if Nintendo cancels 15 of them and releases one every month, thatīs still over 5 more years of major support. Nintendo KNOWS they have a phenomenon on their hands.
Right now Nintendo is producing 2.5M DSīs a month (which is 30M/year), and thatīs still not enough to satisfy demand!
Note that Nintendo saves up supply for the holidays (November - January) when about 50% of yearly sales take place.
Iīll make some conservative predictions, assuming Nintendoīs next handheld comes out in about 3 years (which is most likely).
Up to March 07: 40M (we know this)
http://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/pdf/2007/070427e.pdf
March 08: +30M (assuming production continues at current rate)
March 09: +22M (assuming a fast drop off starts in 2008)
March 00: +16M
March 01: +11M (assuming the DS successor is released half way through this fiscal year)
March 02: +7M
After March 02: +4M
Thatīs 130M. And it would take the fastest drop off for a first place handheld or console EVER for the DS to end up that low.
Realistically, the DS will sell about 150M.
Remember, Nintendo has 79 DS games in development!
Think big - Nintendo certainly is.