Who ever said the PS3 was going to sell 60 million. IMO that stock is overpriced as well.
Starting next year as evidenced by E3 we're going to be seeing some major games hit the PS3.
With that said I still don't see anything to justify a 60 million total sales over say a 40 million total sales for the 360 in your arguments.
Also the lifespan of the 360 is not likely to be another 5 years, especially if they release the next gen system in 2009 as is rumored.
Technology progresses faster and faster and generations are growing shorter, we don't see an entire decade before a new generation any more, and now it's slowly getting to the point where 5 years is pushing it for a console.
Another factor to consider.
Only in the US are sales for 360 strong. The PS2 had strong sales in all countries. We know the PS3 is creaming the 360 in Australia and Japan, and it's also surpassing 360 sales in Europe.
On top of that Microsoft seems reluctant to do a price drop, the system has been out for over a year and a half and remains the same price that it was when it launched. By this point in the PS2's life it had already seen a $100 price drop and was starting to push 15 million sales, and gaining momentum. We aren't seeing an increased momentum from either the PS3 or the 360, we're seeing a decrease in sales month to month, worldwide.
I wouldn't compare the 360 to PS2 sales, but more likely to the oringinal XBox's sales, which still did 22 million in 4 years.
The only way the 360 will reach 60 million is if they delay the launch of their next system until about 2012, manage to stay up with the PS3 despite the hardware advantages of the PS3, AND the sales for the Wii drop off dramatically or Microsoft can convince people to buy both a Wii and a 360, which is going to be one tough sell, even with a lower price considering their game lineup is very "hardcore" centric and they lack many games outside of the RPG/FPS genres.
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Who ever said the PS3 was going to sell 60 million. IMO that stock is overpriced as well.
Starting next year as evidenced by E3 we're going to be seeing some major games hit the PS3.
With that said I still don't see anything to justify a 60 million total sales over say a 40 million total sales for the 360 in your arguments.
Also the lifespan of the 360 is not likely to be another 5 years, especially if they release the next gen system in 2009 as is rumored.
Technology progresses faster and faster and generations are growing shorter, we don't see an entire decade before a new generation any more, and now it's slowly getting to the point where 5 years is pushing it for a console.
Another factor to consider.
Only in the US are sales for 360 strong. The PS2 had strong sales in all countries. We know the PS3 is creaming the 360 in Australia and Japan, and it's also surpassing 360 sales in Europe.
On top of that Microsoft seems reluctant to do a price drop, the system has been out for over a year and a half and remains the same price that it was when it launched. By this point in the PS2's life it had already seen a $100 price drop and was starting to push 15 million sales, and gaining momentum. We aren't seeing an increased momentum from either the PS3 or the 360, we're seeing a decrease in sales month to month, worldwide.
I wouldn't compare the 360 to PS2 sales, but more likely to the oringinal XBox's sales, which still did 22 million in 4 years.
The only way the 360 will reach 60 million is if they delay the launch of their next system until about 2012, manage to stay up with the PS3 despite the hardware advantages of the PS3, AND the sales for the Wii drop off dramatically or Microsoft can convince people to buy both a Wii and a 360, which is going to be one tough sell, even with a lower price considering their game lineup is very "hardcore" centric and they lack many games outside of the RPG/FPS genres.