One thing I don't understand : Why is the GLS of this game at 79.74 DKP, while the NPD Feb 08 future is only 12.79 DKP ? I don't think this two fact can coexist.
We know that NMH is "dead" in Japan, as in almost zero sales. That means to get good sales, it need to rely on Europe and US. If we breakdown that GLS is : 50% first month, 20% second month, and 20% the rest of life, then 12.79 will convert into 25 DKP for US. Can we expect Europe to give good sales for this game ?
If we change the assumption that 40% of GLS is generated in first month, US will have 32 DKP, which is still too high, if we assume that Europe have 50% of US GLS.
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One thing I don't understand : Why is the GLS of this game at 79.74 DKP, while the NPD Feb 08 future is only 12.79 DKP ? I don't think this two fact can coexist.
We know that NMH is "dead" in Japan, as in almost zero sales. That means to get good sales, it need to rely on Europe and US.
If we breakdown that GLS is : 50% first month, 20% second month, and 20% the rest of life, then 12.79 will convert into 25 DKP for US. Can we expect Europe to give good sales for this game ?
If we change the assumption that 40% of GLS is generated in first month, US will have 32 DKP, which is still too high, if we assume that Europe have 50% of US GLS.
Any comment on my calculation ?