This analyst does not really have any good reasoning behind her comments. Many casual gamers on the Wii probably will not buy another console for quite awhile if ever and those hardcore gamers on the Wii that actually do buy another console would have the choice of PS3 or 360 and at this time, that choice would be mostly taste in software (and 360 at this time has the more expansive library with a larger number of quality titles). Also, there are quite a few gamers on the Wii that really do not want another console at this time - I am one (my situation is that I play my Wii, DS, and PC - I can get most of the hardcore games that don't come to Wii on my PC, not that I don't already have a pretty nice selection on the Wii). Analysts are overestimating the need for Wii owners to buy other consoles.
4