I've already driven the price up as much as I can without reaching the 35% limit for how much I can move into one stock. It seems like really easy money to me, though there's a slight chance I'm horrifically wrong. But really, even if I'm off with the 6-7 estimate, to cash out at 3.15 it would have to sell less in this whole month than it did in just the first week. And if you think that it will sell less than 70K this month, I don't see how you expect it to reach anything above 450K over its lifetime. Like I've said, I think the sales for this game will decrease more slowly than they do for most big name games that sell out on the first day. But I don't see it declining so slowly that the GLS could cash out at the 55 DKP that it's at right now. It would need to keep selling 70K per month for the next 7 months, which means that it would maintain the maximum you're predicting for the first full month, all the way until the end of November. I just don't see that happening.
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I've already driven the price up as much as I can without reaching the 35% limit for how much I can move into one stock. It seems like really easy money to me, though there's a slight chance I'm horrifically wrong. But really, even if I'm off with the 6-7 estimate, to cash out at 3.15 it would have to sell less in this whole month than it did in just the first week. And if you think that it will sell less than 70K this month, I don't see how you expect it to reach anything above 450K over its lifetime. Like I've said, I think the sales for this game will decrease more slowly than they do for most big name games that sell out on the first day. But I don't see it declining so slowly that the GLS could cash out at the 55 DKP that it's at right now. It would need to keep selling 70K per month for the next 7 months, which means that it would maintain the maximum you're predicting for the first full month, all the way until the end of November. I just don't see that happening.