This game is hard to predict because of Nintendo's new policy of holding everything close to their chest until close to release time. They could conceivably have a new Mario Party in August, and cut sales short.
Or, with the ridiculous sales of MP8 and MPDS, they could be ready to "promote" the franchise, and have fewer, higher selling entries, like they do with the bulk of their franchises, in which case MP9 might become a major holiday release for November, or even a spring or summer 2009 game, in which case MP8 could sell 1M+ more.
3
It shipped another 500K units in the 3 months after you posted that, to 4.86M units.
Source.
This game is hard to predict because of Nintendo's new policy of holding everything close to their chest until close to release time. They could conceivably have a new Mario Party in August, and cut sales short.
Or, with the ridiculous sales of MP8 and MPDS, they could be ready to "promote" the franchise, and have fewer, higher selling entries, like they do with the bulk of their franchises, in which case MP9 might become a major holiday release for November, or even a spring or summer 2009 game, in which case MP8 could sell 1M+ more.
So I'd say the stock is a "hold" until post E3.