Nope, I have no such evidence. Purely anecdotal, based on my trawling of internet forums. Just call me Captain Speculation. I do see it continually recommended though. Perhaps the 2nd hand market might kill it's long tail though?
As for all 3 platforms, I confess utter ignorance as to the nuances of the PC market - all I know is what I've read recently about 'piracy killing the PC as a platform'. That doesn't make me bullish about PC sales, but I'm not confident of that opinion.
For 360, I'm guessing this is going to sell very well, based mostly on the community goodwill generated by Oblivion. It's already got serious buzz in the enthusiast press - it remains to be seen if that translates to mass-market sales. I fear it may get lost in the holiday deluge.
For PS3, it's more of an unknown - Bethesda have less of a track record on Sony hardware. My suspicion is that it'll have a higher attach rate on PS3, but lower sales that 360.
As for comparisons with earlier Fallout games, it's a sufficiently old IP that I'm not sure comparisons with it's previous iterations hold any water - the market landscape has changed so much since they launched.
Anyway, all just my opinion. Take from it what you will.
3
@ Gaara
Nope, I have no such evidence. Purely anecdotal, based on my trawling of internet forums. Just call me Captain Speculation. I do see it continually recommended though. Perhaps the 2nd hand market might kill it's long tail though?
As for all 3 platforms, I confess utter ignorance as to the nuances of the PC market - all I know is what I've read recently about 'piracy killing the PC as a platform'. That doesn't make me bullish about PC sales, but I'm not confident of that opinion.
For 360, I'm guessing this is going to sell very well, based mostly on the community goodwill generated by Oblivion. It's already got serious buzz in the enthusiast press - it remains to be seen if that translates to mass-market sales. I fear it may get lost in the holiday deluge.
For PS3, it's more of an unknown - Bethesda have less of a track record on Sony hardware. My suspicion is that it'll have a higher attach rate on PS3, but lower sales that 360.
As for comparisons with earlier Fallout games, it's a sufficiently old IP that I'm not sure comparisons with it's previous iterations hold any water - the market landscape has changed so much since they launched.
Anyway, all just my opinion. Take from it what you will.