Very interesting data, full shipment numbers breakdown by each region (South Korea, Japan, Asia, Europe, NA) You can see the popularity of this franchise especially in Europe.
@Stitch, GT5 Prologue is not the same as GT5, like many other games they have split up the title into multiple games to capitalize on the brand power of the franchise, just like GTHD was a separate game as well.
IIRC GT5 is slotted for a Christmas 08 release.
As Gran Turismo 5 Prologue comes out in April I think it should IPO for April when they launch the futures, if it's not on the list already it should be added (sorry haven't been keeping up to date on upcoming futures).
Question: is this stock for GT5 Prologue or another title called GT5? What exactly is GT5 Prologue? If it is a different game entirely, why don't we have a stock for GT5 Prologue listed? Thanks.
@chill21genlee, Thanks. A) I forgot to include GTA in my discussion, but I will say that it is predicted to sell 19 million when you include the 360 version, with 12.4 of that on 360. B) I think GT5 will move PS3 consoles, maybe like a 25% increase in monthly sales in its 1st month, depending on other market/games' variables. Whether or not this is considered meaningful I don't know for sure. C) no comment D) I think it is possible GT5 can reach its current price, GC had 2 games best that price on a userbase of 22 million. I won't say for sure that GT5 will reach its current price, it may not.
Joe, Thanks for the clarification (I up bid it). The main points I was trying to make and still believe are that: A) GT5 will NOT sell nearly as many copies as GTAIV, as per current value B) GT5 will not be a "console selling" game in any meaningful manner, especially not to the extent that the price of the future would see to speculate. C) Most of the futures for PS3 are similarly overvalued, at least until such a time as Sony finds a way to at least double their installed base. I believe they are starting to turn the corner, but that it will be an incredibly slow burn for them, and that those waiting for Sony to recapture past glories as the undisputed console king are in for a disappointment. D) Given the average life cycle of generation of consoles, I cannot believe that 6.3 Million copies of this game is a reasonable price
@chill21genlee, I wasn't comparing sales on those consoles to sales on the present consoles. I was comparing the sales of GT, MGS, & FF on the same consoles. And I did say that each game on PS3 looks to be a bit overvalued, which I had based on the userbase of the PS3 compared to its predecessors. Stats were from VGC.
@Laoldar, For PS1 I doubt it was, given how long after PS1 release that GT1 arrived. For PS2 it may have helped. I'll have to look into this when I have more free time.
OK you're probably right, more people are familiar with Halo due to playing at their friend's house, but more people are likely to purchase GT5 if past sales are any indication.
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Seems this is in a similar boat to the Gears 2 stock - lots of early interest pushing the price up to a crazy value.