@zukaus, This manhunt2 is very difficult to predict. And since we might not get any confirmation about the actual sales #, it then became a fight without jury. Whoever has stronger funds (and stronger believes) win.
Just_ben, this is one of the reason I tend to avoid shortselling long (LTD) stock. Bad news seldom appear on the news, while good news are usually spread ASAP (and hence drove up long stocks).
I don't want to screw anybody over. I just happen to disagree with you on this game and believe that Manhunt 2 will sell more than 110,000 worldwide. Like yourself I also believe I am right, just like everybody else who makes a trade.
ok zukaus, you successfully screwed me over. No need to wait to buy it up. I know now I will only loose. *thumbs up* ... put it up and give me my margin call so we can get it over with.
I know I loose against you even though I am right. There will be no public announcement how many they actually shipped, because it would be to embarrassing for them.
You are right. Now go to VGC and look if you can find the game in this weeks data. It isn't there, last week: It moved 7k, and VGC didn't correct the database. This game has failed to sell, and will continue to fail.
8DKP is the right price, maybe 10 if it gets ever released in uk. This game is also on the ps2. It is not an exclusive.
If you give me a good reason why this should have sold more, I will stop, until then, I keep on rolling.
Why should it be more popular in europe? Its banned in uk and germany. That leaves only france as wii market. this games is on PS2 and southern europe will buy it on the PS2.
And why should it have done more in one week then in the next 4? and where should it get legs, it doesn't move and big chains don't have it in the us. 8 DKP is a realistic price. Why the hell should it move more in december than november? this isn't a "gift game".
6 DKP US, 2 DKP Europe.
In order to have legs (also Wii games) you need 2 things: Shelve space or word to mouth.
This game has neither. It failed. VGC has the game higher, because they work mainly with independents retailers that had that game, the majors didn't. Thats why they overshoot so heavy in November.
@Gaara42,I totally agree people are looking straight at the november future and their thinking 2dkp right thats a shorting opertunity. But look it wasnt released in november wich could add 4-5 dkp + what it has sold in december wich could add 3-5dkp + whatever it sells anyware else . Its far more popular in europe and its a wii title wich means it will sell for half a year. To me this is heavily underpriced and it has the potential could sell up to 20dkp.
If anyone is looking at the vgchartz numbers for Manhunt 2 and think this game is undervalued, look at the first week sales they report. NPD reported Manhunt 2 for the Wii selling around 18.6k or 1.86DKP in November. vgchartz reports first week sales higher than that. This game should be sitting around 10DKP or slightly below, the amount of publicity will not translate into sales, rather the issue is about censorship of games and not censorship of Manhunt.
A couple of things working against this game (for future and lifetime sales):
1. Most casual and/or mainstream gamers are not going to pick up the title because of its quite violent nature
2. A good number of "hardcore" gamers will most likely turn away from buying the game because of the fact that the reviews have not been at a good level and one of the most important parts of the game having been changed (refering to the kill animations hidden by the filter)
3. Some retailers not stocking the game
4. (This is mostly for the future) The fact that I doubt the parents of a good number of teens (that cannot buy the game themselves) will buy the game for their teen for the holiday season
3
This manhunt2 is very difficult to predict. And since we might not get any confirmation about the actual sales #, it then became a fight without jury. Whoever has stronger funds (and stronger believes) win.
Just_ben, this is one of the reason I tend to avoid shortselling long (LTD) stock. Bad news seldom appear on the news, while good news are usually spread ASAP (and hence drove up long stocks).