you have to remember that this price is for the lifetime sales of the game, not what it is going to sell out of the gate.
Mario 64 (which supposedly galaxy will be the true successor to) sold about 12 million on a system that sold about 33 million worldwide, about a 35% attach rate.
I think that it is ignorant to think that the Wii is currently anywhere close to its final install base, and generally speaking nintendo has only had one major game of each series for each system. So yes, over the next 5 years, i think it is very possible that the wii sells well over 60 million units, and at its current price it would put Mario galaxy at a 27% attach rate (and in all honesty, i think most of us believe that the Wii will most likely beat my previous 60 million estimate)
Just out of curiosity what game in the history of gaming has sold a 100% attach rate?
If I'm not mistaken the Wii has sold close to 10 million consoles so far. At the time of my statement we are saying "Price forecasts 16.74M copies sold"
If I do my math correctly is this even possible. I understand in wanting to buy into a stock you like and purchase a lot of it but to me this is a little unbalanced. Because I don't believe every person that owns a Wii will "purchase" this game giving it a 167% attach rate.
Anybody please correct me if I stated something inaccurate and don't know what I'm talking about because I would definitely like to understand this better. Thanks
Oddly enough, this game is still severely overpriced... I would estimate it selling 15 million copies, at the most, which would mean this stock is overvalued by almost 300DKP, in my opinion.
It seemed to have been slowly getting down to a reasonable prices, for the past week , or so. But then it came back up to this.
Ah well, there's not much that I can do until SMG gets released, which should let show everyone who's gotten it up to this point that it shouldn't be this high.
I don't see how this stock has gotten overpriced up to this point... At this point is is very close to the sales we are predicting for Pokemon Diamond, which will most likely the best selling game on the DS. As handhelds typically sell more than consoles, we shouldn't be valuing this so closely, even if it were to be the best selling Wii game. I think it may have something to do with the also overpriced Super Smash Bros. Brawl stock, which has led people to believe that since this game is predicted to sell more than SSBB, it should overinflate like the other stock.
I don't think so simply because of the stated objectives Nintendo is after with the Wii. Mario is a more hardcore type game while the currently packaged game, Wii Sports, is the perfect marketing tool to cause word of mouth advertising which is the likely cause of the high demand for the system, you go over to your friends house, play the game, fall in love with the system, buy it.
I do suspect they will eventually release a Wii Sports 2 and package that with the game.
Anyone else think this will eventually be packed with the Wii? I mean, Mario appeals to everyone, and as long as they don't make the game too complicated (I'm thinking SMW complicated not Mario 64 complicated), we could really see the "expanded market" eating this up. And of course, Nintendo has a history of packaging Mario with the system, and using it to sell the system.
Hardcore was not quite the word I was looking for. NSMB and Galaxy are more "gamer" games I guess you could say -games that have the greatest appeal to those that game consistently and have been for years.
I'm not sure I'd agree that NSMB is a "hardcore" game. It's not difficult by any means and I would think that it appeals across a very broad set of demographics.
I was using more as a comparison that a game that appeals more to more hardcore-type gamers can get high sells even when a significant number of the people that own the videogame system are more mainstream. I was negating the fact that the significant number of casual/mainstream gamers in the Wii owner population will hurt the sells of this game.
I also do agree that this game is to predict and that Super Mario 64 would be the best comparison overall.
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you have to remember that this price is for the lifetime sales of the game, not what it is going to sell out of the gate.
Mario 64 (which supposedly galaxy will be the true successor to) sold about 12 million on a system that sold about 33 million worldwide, about a 35% attach rate.
I think that it is ignorant to think that the Wii is currently anywhere close to its final install base, and generally speaking nintendo has only had one major game of each series for each system. So yes, over the next 5 years, i think it is very possible that the wii sells well over 60 million units, and at its current price it would put Mario galaxy at a 27% attach rate (and in all honesty, i think most of us believe that the Wii will most likely beat my previous 60 million estimate)