Be very careful with Wii. I always underestimated them in the past, and it has bite me more than I care to acknowledge. I also underestimate DS in the past. I don't know what is the reason for Nintendo to be so successful with NDS and Wii, but it is there, and I don't dare shortsell DS and Wii anymore (unless I see a 4 Million Wii Dec 07 prediction).
I think your judgement is possibly clouded by the "Wii is a fad" thinking. Once I also think the same, but now I am not so sure about it. Remember the "Pokemon is a fad" ? I believe 2008 sales for Wii will be > 2007 sales, especially if the supply constrain things has been solved. You have put your money by shortselling Wii, but I haven't got the guts to put my money by buying Wii (yet), since the current prediction is higher than my conservative estimate (> 100 Million).
4
Be very careful with Wii. I always underestimated them in the past, and it has bite me more than I care to acknowledge. I also underestimate DS in the past. I don't know what is the reason for Nintendo to be so successful with NDS and Wii, but it is there, and I don't dare shortsell DS and Wii anymore (unless I see a 4 Million Wii Dec 07 prediction).
I think your judgement is possibly clouded by the "Wii is a fad" thinking. Once I also think the same, but now I am not so sure about it. Remember the "Pokemon is a fad" ? I believe 2008 sales for Wii will be > 2007 sales, especially if the supply constrain things has been solved. You have put your money by shortselling Wii, but I haven't got the guts to put my money by buying Wii (yet), since the current prediction is higher than my conservative estimate (> 100 Million).