I did not say this game will or will not be as popular as games like Halo 3 and WoW:BC.
I too expect a lot of people to be putting DKP into this one at the IPO, which is not exactly a bullish sign, but a steady flow of new players should slowly push this stock higher, perhaps higher than any realistic value.
I say this is a "fair" price despite the potential upside because there is significant risk to the downside due to the possible loss of PS3 exclusivity as well as the continuing poor sales performance of the PS3.
Additionally Final Fantasy may be popular but that has not pushed FFXII up to the 6-9 million range despite having the advantages of exclusivity and a huge install base. Although I think the circumstances have now changed for FFXIII with the updates to the trading engine making it easier to move large cap stocks.
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I did not say this game will or will not be as popular as games like Halo 3 and WoW:BC.
I too expect a lot of people to be putting DKP into this one at the IPO, which is not exactly a bullish sign, but a steady flow of new players should slowly push this stock higher, perhaps higher than any realistic value.
I say this is a "fair" price despite the potential upside because there is significant risk to the downside due to the possible loss of PS3 exclusivity as well as the continuing poor sales performance of the PS3.
Additionally Final Fantasy may be popular but that has not pushed FFXII up to the 6-9 million range despite having the advantages of exclusivity and a huge install base. Although I think the circumstances have now changed for FFXIII with the updates to the trading engine making it easier to move large cap stocks.