kspraydad, no wait should be necessary if you believe X attach rate is necessary for Y stock to hit Z price. Remember, stocks forecast the future, they do not forecast one point in time.
If you think the PS3 will ever reach an install base large enough to support say 5 million Final Fantasy XIII purchases, then the price you are willing to buy at should be 500 DKP discounted by the risk that these factors don't come together. The only reason you would wait is for more information to emerge so that the risk decreases.
We are not forecasting the number of copies Final Fantasy XIII may sell through 2008, but in the entirety of the future, including any 3 year wait you believe is necessary for the presumed attach rate. All of that should be priced in.
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If you think the PS3 will ever reach an install base large enough to support say 5 million Final Fantasy XIII purchases, then the price you are willing to buy at should be 500 DKP discounted by the risk that these factors don't come together. The only reason you would wait is for more information to emerge so that the risk decreases.
We are not forecasting the number of copies Final Fantasy XIII may sell through 2008, but in the entirety of the future, including any 3 year wait you believe is necessary for the presumed attach rate. All of that should be priced in.