VGChartz is only showing 580k for this title, 4 months after pilias_simber noted the title sold 450k. The sales have been pretty slow, probably target 70-75 DKP.
To date the stock has done 450k in sales and it's basically done in Japan already and is dropping at a faster rate in the US than it did in Japan, I estimate we'll see a total of 300k from Japan and maybe 350k from the US at most, which would bring this title to the 65DKP range.
This title is currently valued at close to 82 DKP and continues to rise despite poor sales. This is an excellent short opportunity.
I still stand by my estimate of 600k total for this game. I am expecting a pretty significant drop off next week in America, to around 20k. Should the title manage to move closer to 175k within the first 4 weeks after launch I think the current price may be about right, if it drops below that I'd say it's STILL a good candidate for shorting.
I was shorting this until I saw the VGC #'s for its 1st week at 89,000. So I bought back all my shares in it and have taken a relatively small buy in it now. It doesn't have to sell much more in its next 3 weeks to meet its OCT Future prediction. Figure in VGC may have a degree of error, but signs point to this selling decently in OCT.
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