I doubt anyone can underestimate the Halo brand, I think here we are overestimating the power of the Halo brand. Consoles are not know to have a large RTS audience, most people use their PCs because of the easier and more fluid controls offered there. Just because something is slapped with the 'Halo' moniker, does not mean it will sell several millions.
I think you underestimate the power of the Halo brand, and of $200 consoles - this will launch in the spring when the 360 will probably receive its next price cut to counteract the supposed first system-sellers for the PS3.
I agree, this stock is overvalued. The Halo brand is strong, but I think Halo fans will still be playing Halo 3 when this comes out and I don't think that their is as much overlap between the Halo audience and the RTS audience. I think this might be able to sell 1.5 million if it turns out to be stellar, but if it turns out to be a run-of-the-mill RTS with a Halo skin, then I doubt it will reach 1.25 million or even 1 million.
While Halo FPS' get a great deal of hype and attention, it's still very much unknown how much of that fanbase will be interested in a point and click RTS as well.
RTS games on consoles don't have the best history for quality and sales, though it has been improving. However, BFME2 has only sold about 255k in America and CNC3 won't have sales data available for a week or two.
This came is severely under rated. The Halo fanbase is time and time again looked down upon even though it has shown to be rabid for Halo content. I would estimate this to top out at the very least 2.5mil lifetime.
Anyone that down bids me is just against Halo. To add further proof that it will succeed, games like BFME2 and CnC3 are spectacular for RTS on the 360. If Halo Wars is even half as good it will have great reviews. This is a must buy here and irl.
Copies of BFME 2 sold like crazy on 360 even though console gamers weren't familiar with the first one. I think that with the support of the Halo brand Halo Wars will far outdo a meager 1.67 million copies throughout its lifetime.
IMO , anything with a Halo attached to it will sell for at least 2 million before you run to the negative button , think of it there is like 6 million Halo fanboys having 33% buy this game sounds just about right if not a understatement.
Yea...... Trebuchets were really annoying. :P No one would ever really expect a good rts on a console. Mybe the game would require a wireless keyboard in which you have to pay to link up to your xbox? It seems like big-game companies with games on the inernet are wanting to scrounge up all of the money that people have just so we can get all of their extra content.
I think that Halo Wars is going to be a very touchy game- I think that if it doesnt play well, it will be harder for Master Chief to become Bungie's and Microsoft's Mario. -Stick Sparton 117 on any game box and it sells, kind-of-thing. Lets hope that this doesnt happen like that. I bet Red vs. blue would have fun with this game, given we get individual team colors and good controls, along with zoom-down-and-close-up to the battle :P
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I doubt anyone can underestimate the Halo brand, I think here we are overestimating the power of the Halo brand. Consoles are not know to have a large RTS audience, most people use their PCs because of the easier and more fluid controls offered there. Just because something is slapped with the 'Halo' moniker, does not mean it will sell several millions.