sorry i forgot it was releasd in europe.but i still think its over priced. your saying that it will sell 1.8million? sales have all ready died down dramaticly.in both us and europe now selling just about 2dkp a week. 1.5million might be more realistic thats still about 25% overpriced
What the heck? It sold 641,000 in the US alone. that means about 700,000 in US+CA. Being conservative i would say Europe accounts for 400,000 -> thats 1.1 Million already. Sorry, but 1.25 Million is def. in. 1.8 Million lifetime should be realistic.
even though this has had a big drop i would still recomend shorting.200dkp looks impossible as sales are slowing rapidly i cant see this making even 1.25million
@Powertrade, 650k in two months isn't good. Without there being a $20 Game of the Year edition, 125-150 DKP. If there is, probably 200 tops. I can't really imagine many more people buying this. I think the 1.5 million shipped is the top for the stock.
@feelmyring, looks like you were right about the stock going down. Though the 350k sales estimate from VGC was totally off. What does 150,000 actual sales for second month do for your forecast?
@feelmyring, I think unless something totally unforeseen happens with the Sep future, this stock is going to be worth around 175-200 DKP soon. Taking sales of just under 500k, and adding to them sales of about 350k, we know the stock is worth at least 85 DKP. With the glut of games that are out or coming out appealing to the same audience, I think this stock is mostly done. It wouldn't surprise me if the price got down to about 150, only to settle at 185ish.
@-THE-RAY-, The game is great, I just don't think it has the strength to be a lasting option for the FPS crowd, with the big ticket name games coming out in the next few months. I think that, by and large, the people that would have bought BioShock already have bought BioShock.
I have to agree with everybody who thinks bioshock wont sell 3million.Allthough it looks like a serious game as i considered getting it myself, i dont think it has the legs to reach its current price at 3million.The european sales are not going to last very long as more people cant wait to get grand theft auto, halo or call of duty.there is alot of competition .Even if it carried on sales of 50,000 a week in america(according to VGC)to christmas it would only reach 200dkp (taking that has allready sold about 1.4million in europe + america)
@Alpha, By and large, the people that were waiting to buy a 360 for Halo are going to keep playing Halo, or like Laodar said, pick up a NUMBER of other games before Bioshock. Every time I've suggested it at my local Gamestop, I get a look like I've got 2 heads. There's two kinds of Xbox 360 game purchasers: the kind that get Bioshock and the kind that don't. I don't think there's three million of the kind that do; I honestly don't really think there are 2 million.
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Depends on Holiday sales AND on a price drop on the game, special edition or something like that. 1.5-1.9 then.