Heh, wow. Awesome answer. Sadly I don’t know who Adam Savage is, but I do like his style. Anyway, even though I never thought about breaking it down to percentages, I think it’s likely this game will be more violent than the last. I also believe this game will face a lot of negative press and even possible bans.
I think you're putting a bit too much faith in me, I got to where I am mostly by luck and contributions (and lots of bug finds).
That said, this is a hard one to spot. There are a few ways I see it going, and I'm gonna take the Adam Savage approach because I haven't done it yet and it's funny.
10% chance the game just sucks. In that case, 75 is way too high. 5% chance the game is as violent as the first, but gets even harder censorship than the first. In that case, 75 is still way too high. 20% chance the game is as violent as the first, and is treated to the same censorship. In that case, I think 75 is a touch high, since the first was legally restricted in 5 countries and some are large markets. 20% chance the game is as violent as the first, but get less censorship and passes without notice. Then 75 is about right, maybe a tad high. 20% chance the game is as violent as the first, a huge media frenzy happens, but no serious censorship in most markets. Then 75 is low. 20% chance the game is less violent than its predecessor. In that case 75 is actually a tad low, since if it's less violent it won't get censored widely, and will appeal to those with weaker stomaches. 3% chance the game is super mad gory and gets banned pretty much everywhere. 1% chance Rockstar just doesn't even release it for some reason. 1% chance Jack Thompson gets it banned.
So, I personally would drop it down to 70, but with it where it is now I think it's perfectly fine.
Hey Charron, I'm really interested to know how you think this game will sell on the Wii. Not that you have a crystal ball or anything, but I really do respect your opinion. Do you think 75.00 DKP is a buyable price for this game???
Well, I did what I could, by adding the release dates to the listing. This way it'll show up in the "coming soon" listing, and should more easily appear on the radar, so to speak, especially as launch day creeps closer.
I agree with Lapperscrapper. We can bid on a game like Halo 3 which is months away, but Manhunt 2 which is coming very soon has yet to be listed... very strange. This game needs an IPO and fast!
After reading the IGN preview, I would be interested to see this game get an IPO. They describe the game as "the goriest game we've ever seen." I am curious to see if people think that will hurt sales (especially on the Wii), or the publicity from the gore will drive some extra sales. I think that Wii owners are hurting for anything of quality right now, so if the game plays well, there might be plenty of people who wouldn't mind a mature game.
Anyway, the IGN article gave a release date of July 10 for this game, so we are getting fairly close to this hitting the streets.
charron, you may be right. I wasn't too sure about the IPO price when I submitted this. But as of now, I wouldn't really say the Wii has a lack of M rated games. Already there's Splinter Cell, Scarface, The Godfather, Far Cry Vengeance, Driver: Parallel Lines, Mortal Kombat: Armageddon, and now Manhunt 2 (and most likely Resident Evil: Umbrella Chronicles when it is released).
While I did bid this, I worry the IPO is too high. The Wii does have a lack of M-rated games (and you know this is going to get that rating), but at the same time this may be "too much" for many people. The original was quite gory, and the gameplay was too slow to draw in many sales. So I'm all for the game getting listed but I'd short it right out of the gate at this price.
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