There are some games where the install base at launch will constrain lifetime sales. But these are generally titles that have huge first months, selling 1/3 or 1/2 of their lifetime and then quickly declining, or are from IPs which have new iterations every 12-24 months. Animal Crossing fits neither description.
Furthermore, I think we're talking about a late 2008 title here, at least for America and Europe. Nintendo did at one point say it was a 2007 game, which is probably why it IPOed so early, but that was a long time ago now, and since then we've failed to see any screens or even hear much news. I think the Japanese debut is at least a year away.
Its really very silly for this stock to be fluctuating back and forth. It should be going straight up. It may just come from some people figuring the up-trend is over and freeing up some cash for other stocks. But the more times it is reiterated that AC DS has already sold over 7 million and will likely reach 10 million, the more people might get on board. This stock really should climb up to 700, 800, & 900 DKP.
Well Nintendo is aiming for 1.5 million Wii consoles shipped per month, so it won't take very long for it to reach that number.
Right now the Wii is selling faster than the DS did when it launched. Also, when the DS version launched there were only about 15 million DS units sold worldwide.
Lao- I guess my point was that the DS has an install base of 40 million, so it was apples to oranges.
However, thank you for pointing out that it is going to be released in 08. That will make a difference. I assumed it would be soon, since you can trade it now.
This game won't be released next week. In fact, Nintendo has already said that it won't come out until sometime in 2008. Wii sales are going to be a lot higher once production increases and the 2007 holiday season passes.
And the install base at launch won't constrain sales. Look at the DS version. It's still near the top of the charts after almost 2 years.
zero- i am not quite sure i can agree at this point. wii has sold <8mil. So at this point it would be 1/2 of their install base. Granted the wii will sell more, a lot more. But i think 4.3 is a bit optimistic at this point. I think it is still too early to make large claims with absolute certainty.
What's with the selloff? I see no reason for the drastic fluctuations of this stock.
This stock is still very undervalued as it will sell more than 4.3 million world wide.
DS sales of this title surpassed 7.5 million. Its very bearish to assume this title will sell less than half of growth over the gamecube version the DS version experienced.
This title will be huge for Nintendo when it comes out.
@JRigby, thanks for submitting. I agree with Laoldar that it will not be the final boxart. It looks like an early placeholder graphic. All those sites (Amazon, EBGames, Gamespot) will post placeholders from time to time until the actual product packaging is determined.
For one thing, it looks nothing like every other Wii game released in terms of border. Also, Nintendo dropped the "only for" purple corner and it hasn't appeared on any Wii games.
No idea why Gamespot has that up, but it's definitely not the box art.
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Furthermore, I think we're talking about a late 2008 title here, at least for America and Europe. Nintendo did at one point say it was a 2007 game, which is probably why it IPOed so early, but that was a long time ago now, and since then we've failed to see any screens or even hear much news. I think the Japanese debut is at least a year away.
Its really very silly for this stock to be fluctuating back and forth. It should be going straight up. It may just come from some people figuring the up-trend is over and freeing up some cash for other stocks. But the more times it is reiterated that AC DS has already sold over 7 million and will likely reach 10 million, the more people might get on board. This stock really should climb up to 700, 800, & 900 DKP.