@Workwork, Yes it does. The reason recent Sonic games were busts is because they were all very bad games. You can see fans of Sonic comment on the internet all the time that they're hoping the next Sonic game will actually be good. So that clearly shows they still follow Sonic games (esp despite the downward trend in quality) & would love to see one that is actually good. And among sites like gamefaqs that do popularity contests on game characters, Sonic is still one of the most popular. 2006 In addition Sonic will gain even more popularity once Sonic RPG launches from Bioware, which will probably be excellent.
@Alpha, I believe this will be one of the Wii's best selling titles this year. It combines the star power of Nintendo & Sega's most famous characters in a game approachable to casuals and the hardcore. IMO this is still undervalued.
@ErikAston, this isn't a stock I have been following yet, but the general trend appears the shorters are finally directing their attention to unreleased games.
Since the automated market maker was fixed a few months ago and shorting to more realistic prices became more possible, people have focused on shorting older games that had their stock prices artificially inflated for too long. This was the easy money. Many of these games have now been delisted and capital has been freed up. People are now refocusing their attention to unrelased games that have gone unchecked for a while.
Just looking at the Mario & Sonic stock chart, this stock has basically been on a buying streak. Many unreleased games have had streaks of up days which are most likely due to low volume buying. I am suspecting that stock prices for unreleased titles will be coming down soon as shorts finally start looking at these, rather than shorting low-profile DS games and movie ports.
I don't know about this game specifically, but I do know that selling millions of copies is a rare thing; however, you would not know this from looking on the simExchange as it seems people here tend to be very optimistic about game sales in general. As people see more NPD data, I think we will become more realistic of how games sell. Few games even break 1 million unit sales.
I think a forecast of 2 million makes sense for this game. The mini-game game market is overloaded for Wii, but the trend so far has been for games with established mascots like Rayman Rabbids, WarioWare and Mario Party to have very impressive sales (1M, nearly 2M, and an eventual 3M, respectively). The previews for the game are very positive (even winning Leipzig Wii game of show over Mario Galaxy as mentioned below) so I don't think sales will be stalled by quality issues.
I encourage people to buy this stock back up to where it was.
Mario and Sonic the Hedgehog, the two biggest mascots in video game history will square off on the Nintendo Wii, but not in Super Smash Bros. Brawl (at least not yet). Instead of beating each other up, the two will compete in Sega's Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games. Due out this November, just in time for the 2008 Olympics in Beijing, the game pits the archrivals against each other in a series of events, the goal to capture the elusive gold medal.
Question: Does anyone else feel this is undervalued? I have stock in it and that may be why I feel like this. I'm curious to what anyone else thinks about this stock.
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