@kspraydad, I completely agree that there is no way GTAIV could sell better than Halo 3 on 360. It's just been inflated beyond Halo 3 by poor predictions.
As I said yesterday. The only one who could this share down and down and down again and again would be zukaus. And I understand why he isn't doing it. Thats why I am only short 200 shares on this one. Money would just be frozen to long to make a gain.
Agreed, and there already are competing spin offs, by the way. Saint's Row is the obvious one, and Saint's Row 2 is forthcoming some time in 2008. The "sandbox" has a lot more players than it used to, which to me is yet another reason to expect current gen sales that will be protracted as compared to the PS2 games of old. When those games came out, it was for a system that had almost no competition (until Xbox was stronger by the time San Andreas came out), and at a time when the whole genre was still new and fresh. Granted software sales as a whole have seen exponential growth year over year, but at the end of the day this just isn't a game that will almost double Halo 3's sales, especially given that H3 IS an exclusive!! It's frustrating to have a ton of this shorted, but to know that I will periodically take a beating on it simply b/c the release is so far out and a lot of the players have unrealistic expectations! I suppose as long as I don't end up with margin calls it's OK though
1. It is split between 2 platforms, so it should be 12 Million for both. 2. We are early in the lifespan, and the 2 target platforms are high priced. To high to many casual GTA players if you ask me, this ain't halo. 3. The current install base for both platforms is "relatively" low. By the time it would be big enough to sell actually such numbers, there will be Spin Offs of the game.
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