Doesn't people overreact on the stock a little bit? I mean Halo 3 sold well in the U.S. and very well in Europe compared to Halo 2. It will have decent lags, I think. as Kemkle33 laid out, December there will be a lot of copies sold and the 360 has a better stand (thanks to the UK) in the EU than the original XBox. Sorry, but I say, the stock (not the october future) is undervalued.
Halo 3 sales only had a small window of opportunity to satiate the sales demands of September. With only five days to purchase the game and pre-orders accounting for a sizable percentage of that, it is easy to extrapolate that Halo 3 will be doing its sales in two windows: launch and holiday season. Traditionally holiday shopping starts, at least in the US, on the third Friday of November. Black Friday as it is so precariously named by those poor souls who must work retail.
Between the end of launch and the rush to buy during Black Friday, do we really expect 1 million units to be sold?
I dont know if this will sell 1 million in October, but I do know it is still selling strong through October. At least where I work the Halo bundle (plus the game) has been selling really well in the first couple weeks of October.
You have to remember Halo 3 was released at the end of September and did not get the full 3 weeks of the month. A lot of people who have seen Halo at a friend's house are now getting their copy, but that would have been early October.
I dont know when the Fiscal months end and start, but I am still predicting this to be a high sales month for Halo 3, and still expect it to capture the number 1 game of the month.
Unless Halo 3 continues to light 360 sales ablaze through October, meaning new consumers, I can't see Halo3 selling over a million units in a 4 week period. Not after it sold 3.3 million for Sept meaning the majority of existing 360 users now own it 3 weeks on. 700-800K is my perdiction for the month. The only I can see Halo3 to sell 1M units for Oct is if 360 sales remain above 500K.
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Looks like you are trusted in the community :)